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Wednesday, November 7, 2007

Fantasy Redraft

Well, as usual, this fantasy football season has had some big surprises.

Adrian Peterson was picked about four rounds too late (honestly, who could see this coming?), Tom Brady has been even better than expected (but I still can't stand the guy!), and, as for guys like Steven Jackson and Laurence Maroney, let's just say they haven't done too well.

Anyways, I know this really doesn't accomplish anything, but I'm going to try to list who the first 20 picks would be if there was a fantasy football draft TODAY. It would be just for the remainder of this season (not a keeper league), and settings would be standard.

#1 Tom Brady
Tough one. Almost certainly either Brady or Peterson, with an outside chance of Tomlinson. But I guess I'll have to give Brady the edge here. Although RBs are more important than QBs in fantasy, and I almost never advise taking a QB in the first round (or even in the second round, for that matter), Brady's numbers have been flat-out ridiculous. No one has scored close to as many points as him with just about any settings.

#2 Adrian Peterson
While some might still be afraid of the fact that he's still a rookie, his numbers should be convincing enough. He's on pace to have one of the best seasons EVER, and it's hard to justify taking anyone but Brady over him. Did I mention he has a 6.6 rushing average (more than two times as high as Cedric Benson's 3.1 yards per carry; Benson was probably picked about two rounds before Peterson in most drafts)?

#3 LaDainian Tomlinson
Tomlinson has still been one of the best fantasy backs this season, and, barring injury, you know that will remain the case. You can feel confident with him as your first rounder.

#4 Joseph Addai
Incredibly close between Addai and Westbrook at this spot. I give Addai a slight nod due to the fact that he's a little less injury prone, his numbers are a little better than Westbrook's, and opposing defenses can focus on Westbrook more than they can Addai.

#5 Brian Westbrook
He's in the top 10 in the NFL in receptions and top 40 in receiving yards. He's also one of the best RBs in the NFL. Not bad, if you ask me!

#6 Willis McGahee
The complaints should come pouring in right about...now! True, there are other good options here, but McGahee has been incredibly consistent, scoring at least 10 points in every game in standard formats. He's also fifth in the NFL in rushing yards, and, although he MIGHT miss a game from this head injury, it doesn't look like it'll be too serious.

#7 Marshawn Lynch
Another rookie RB, so people may be unsure if he'll keep it up. But you can't argue with success. Fourth in the NFL in rushing yards, tied for seventh in rushing TDs.

#8 Willie Parker
I know he has had a couple of bad weeks and hasn't scored much this year, but I think he can stay in the top 2 in rushing yards (or at least top 3) while increasing his TD total.

#9 Reggie Bush
Look at his past six games. I know, I couldn't believe it either.

#10 Randy Moss
It's rare to see me advise picking a WR this early, but he's been that good. I think his numbers will slightly dip, but not much.

#11 Clinton Portis
He's in the top 7 in rushing yards and top 5 in rushing TDs (plus he went to the U!). I probably could have even placed him a couple of spots higher on this list.

#12 Edgerrin James
He's cooled down a bit, but has had at least 1 rushing TD or 80 rushing yards in all but one game this year. Impressive.

#13 Marion Barber
I know he's having a fantastic season, but it's hard for me to put him in the top 10 when there is another RB on his team within 9 carries of him. If Julius Jones starts off a game very well, Barber probably won't have a great game. That's not something you want to have to worry about from your top RB. It's probably not fair, but that's how I see it.

#14 Brandon Jacobs
I thought he would be one of the best RBs coming into this season, and I still feel that way. He's averaging 106 rushing yards per game over his last four games, and also has a pair of TDs during that span. I actually think he may creep his way into the top 6 or 7 RBs by season's end.

#15 T.J. Houshmandzadeh
He's scored a touchdown every week. And he's a WR! Enough said. Actually, it's not. I should add that, the reason I have him this far down the list isn't because I think he'll have a significantly worse second half, it's because I value RBs EXTREMELY highly when it comes to fantasy football.

# 16 Maruice Jones-Drew
He's played a lot better as of late and is looking like the guy people thought of when they used a top 15 pick on him.

# 17 LenDale White
He's been good in all but two games this season, and most people would put him in the top 15, but, for some reason, I think his numbers will fall quite a bit within the next few weeks. Not enough to make him a bad #2 RB, but enough to put him here on my list.

#18 Braylon Edwards
Not including Week 1 (when Charlie Frye was Cleveland's QB for most of the game), Edwards is averaging over 98 yards receiving and more than a TD a game. You read that correctly.

#19 Terrell Owens
Say what you want about his attitude, but he's in the top 5 in receiving yards and is tied for 6th in TD catches.

#20 Jesse Chatman
You know I've got to put a 'Fin on this list! Besides, it's not too far-fetched to think he can be a top 20 fantasy player for the rest of the season, The Dolphins have been terrible this year, but the O-line has done their part, and Chatman has skills.

On the Bubble: Antonio Gates, Tony Romo, Derek Anderson, Kevin Jones, Plaxico Burress, Frank Gore, Steven Jackson, Reggie Wayne

Hope you enjoyed it!

Agree? Disagree? Simply want to voice your opinion? Leave me a comment!

1 comment:

Makemoney said...

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